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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - Q1:2007


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
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The insane growth of the prior few years has quickly slowed and the first quarter was one of the slowest in the past decade. The prior gains were propelled by job gains and historically low mortgage rates. However, support has run out for current price levels as the market cannot sustain the extremely poor affordability. Consequently, nominal and real prices should be expected to decline towards the historic level of mortgage debt servicing cost.

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Year

Nominal
Price History

Nominal
Price Growth

Real
Price History

Real
Price Growth

Los Angeles Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
National Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
2002
$291,000
15.1%
$323,400
12.2%
26.0%
16.8%

2003

$342,800
17.8%
$374,300
15.7%
29.7%
17.5%
2004
$434,600
26.8%
$463,200
23.8%
36.1%
18.8%
2005
$537,100
23.6%
$557,200
20.3%
45.4%
21.5%
2006
$586,500
9.2%
$591,000
6.1%
47.2%
21.6%
2007
$589,900
0.6%
$589,900
-0.2%
46.7%
21.1%



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