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MIAMI, FLORIDA - Q4:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
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The insane growth of the prior few years only slowed moderately and resulted in third largest real gain on record (only behind 2005 & 2004). These gains were propelled by continued job gains, investment activity and historically low mortgage rates. However, support is running out for current price levels as the market cannot sustain the poor affordability. Consequently, nominal and real prices should be expected to decline towards the historic level of mortgage debt servicing cost.

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Year

Nominal
Price History

Nominal
Price Growth

Real
Price History

Real
Price Growth

Miami Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
National Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
2001
$157,500
13.4%
$178,100
10.5%
20.1%
17.8%

2002

$180,000
14.2%
$198,400
11.4%
21.1%
17.5%
2003
$206,700
14.9%
$223,900
12.9%
23.5%
18.3%
2004
$249,000
20.5%
$263,200
17.6%
27.2%
19.6%
2005
$319,800
28.4%
$329,100
25.1%
35.6%
22.6%
2006
$366,800
14.7%
$366,800
11.4%
38.8%
21.7%



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