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ORANGE COUNTY, CALIFORNIA - Q1:2007


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
1  |  Page 2  |  3  |  4   
The growth of prior years has come to an abrupt end and last year resulted in the smallest real yearly price gain in 7 years. During the first quarter nominal prices losses continued and 2007 is on pace to be one of the worst on record. This comes despite continued job gains and historically low mortgage rates as price growth could not sustain prior levels due to extremely poor affordability as during the prior Southern California market bubble. Consequently, nominal and real prices should be expected to decline towards the historic level of mortgage debt servicing cost.

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Year

Nominal
Price History

Nominal
Price Growth

Real
Price History

Real
Price Growth

Orange County Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
National Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
2002
$380,100
15.0%
$422,700
12.0%
29.0%
16.8%

2003

$444,600
16.9%
$485,700
14.9%
32.9%
17.5%
2004
$564,900
27.1%
$602,500
24.0%
40.1%
18.8%
2005
$675,300
19.5%
$700,800
16.3%
48.8%
21.5%
2006
$712,600
5.5%
$718,300
2.5%
49.0%
21.6%
2007
$697,300
-2.1%
$697,300
-2.9%
47.1%
21.1%



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