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SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - Q1:2007


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
1  |  Page 2  |  3  |  4   
The growth of prior years has come to an abrupt end and last year (2006) resulted in the largest yearly price drop on record (in both nominal & real terms). The 1st quarter of 2007 shows no sign of a recovery despite continued job gains and historically low mortgage rates as price growth cannot sustain prior levels due to poor affordability as during the prior California market bubble. Consequently, nominal and real prices should be expected to continue to decline towards the historic level of mortgage debt servicing cost.

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Year

Nominal
Price History

Nominal
Price Growth

Real
Price History

Real
Price Growth

Sacramento Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
National Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
2002
$227,200
14.0%
$252,800
11.1%
22.4%
16.8%

2003

$260,400
14.6%
$284,700
12.6%
24.9%
17.5%
2004
$324,400
24.6%
$346,200
21.6%
29.7%
18.8%
2005
$385,200
18.7%
$400,000
15.6%
35.9%
21.5%
2006
$375,900
-2.4%
$378,900
-5.3%
33.3%
21.6%
2007
$365,500
-2.8%
$365,500
-3.5%
31.9%
21.1%



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