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SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - Q4:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
1  |  Page 2  |  3  |  4   
The growth of prior years has come to an abrupt end and real terms resulted in the worst year since 1994. This comes despite continued job gains and historically low mortgage rates as price growth could not sustain prior levels due to poor affordability as during the prior Northern California market bubble. Consequently, nominal and real prices should be expected to decline towards the historic level of mortgage debt servicing cost.


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Year

Nominal
Price History

Nominal
Price Growth

Real
Price History

Real
Price Growth

San Francisco Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
National Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio
2001
$464,000
4.9%
$526,100
2.2%
29.3%
17.8%

2002

$497,100
7.1%
$549,100
4.4%
28.8%
17.5%
2003
$525,300
5.7%
$569,900
3.8%
29.6%
18.3%
2004
$608,800
15.9%
$644,500
13.1%
32.8%
19.6%
2005
$719,100
18.1%
$740,600
14.9%
39.5%
22.6%
2006
$733,400
2.0%
$733,400
-1.0%
38.3%
21.7%



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